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The January Term Decision Game 2008
January 6-15, 2008
See the 2008 Photos
The American Foreign Policy Decision Game:
Critical Issues in Asian Diplomacy
Get
a glimpse of how American foreign policy decisions are really made. How
will the US Government approach some basic issues as the rise of China,
North Korea's nuclear program, instability in South Asia, and trade
conflicts?
The students will
first receive background lectures from high-level government officials,
media representatives, and foreign policy experts on a series of
substantive issues such as Islamic fundamentalism and terrorism, the North
Korean nuclear program, and China and Taiwan. Past speakers have included
Michael O'Hanlon of Brookings, Tony Blinken, the minority chief of staff,
Barry Lowenkron, the Assistant Secretary of Democracy and Human Rights,
and distinguished experts from think tanks such as the American Enterprise
Institute, the Brookings Institution and the Carnegie Endowment. The
students will then be divided into groups to represent various agencies
and organizations including the National Security Council, Pentagon, State
Department, CIA, media, and non-governmental community. Armed with the
briefing books prepared by the Osgood Center, the students will formulate,
present and debate policy solutions for the major issues the United States
faces Asia with the instructor, Shelton Williams, playing the role of
President.
How the Game is
Played:
THE DECISION GAME
Decision-Situations:
Organization of Delegations
-
Congress – Members include chairmen or Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, House Foreign Affairs Committee, Senate
Finance Committee, and House Appropriations Committee. Each member is
autonomous, though they may coordinate their decisions and working
arrangements if possible.
-
Department of Defense – Members include Secretary
of Defense (a civilian), and three Joint Chiefs of Army, Navy, and Air
Force. Rules – The Secretary’s decision is final, unless all three
chiefs vote against the Secretary.
-
Media – Members include analysts from the New
York Times, The Washington Post, The Christian Science Monitor, and CBS
television. No rules, no voting. Members decide own decision-making
procedure.
-
National Security Council – Members include
National Security Council Advisor and three assistants. The Advisor’s
decision is final, though the assistants have the right, if all agree,
to present their case to the Secretary of State. His agreement with the
assistants overrides the Advisor.
-
State Department – Members include Secretary of
State and three assistant secretaries. The Secretary’s decision is
final, though the assistants have the right, if all agree, to present
their case to the National Security Council Advisor. His agreement with
the Assistant Secretaries overrides the Secretary of State.
-
The Intelligence Community – Members include the
Director and four senior analysts. The IC has the right to present its
position to the President in private.
-
The NGO community – members include the Heads of
the Arms Control Association, the Center for Strategic Studies, the
Carnegie Endowment for Peace, and the American Enterprise Institute.
Position is determined by majority vote.
Game
The President, the
unimpeachable Shelton Williams, will spin the wheel of fate to determine
which Decision Situation prevails for the session. Then he will spin the
wheel to see which Agency of Group will announce its “Bottom Line Trial
Balloon,” that is, the delegation’s policy proposal delivered without
options and with only brief rationale. There will follow negotiating
sessions among the representatives. For the President to adopt a group’s
proposal, the proposal must have the support of either the NGO and media
or Congress and the support of three out of four government agencies.
Scoring
To the victor of the
Decision Game goes the most coveted prize in Washington – the President’s
Ear. To gain the President’s Ear, an agency or group must amass 1000
Potomac Points. Potomac Points may be gained by:
-
Gaining Presidential approval of a proposal – 500
points.
-
Amending a proposal successfully – 250 points.
-
Blocking a proposal (this must be announced as an
official opposition to a proposal) –250 points.
-
Shifting the blame for an unsuccessful proposal
to another group or agency (which has not announced formal opposition).
This occurs when a group who fails takes a “Point of Buck Passing
Privilege” and requests a vote to blame another agency (to be
identified) for the proposal’s failure. If four out of the five groups
agree, then the agency gains 500 points.
NOTE: A group’s
intellectual or organizational deficiency even though pointed out by
another group, is its own failure. Votes taken on this issue must be
explained.
Procedure
-
There will be three approximately four-hour
sessions
-
Each session will consist of:
-
Opening statements by
the groups (one hour maximum).
-
Spinning of the wheel
of fate and announcement of a “Bottom Line Trial Balloon” (fifteen
minutes maximum).
-
Initial explanatory
negotiating – initiating group explaining reasoning (in secret) to
other groups (forty-five minutes maximum).
-
Intra-Agency
consideration (forty-five minutes maximum).
-
Last Ditch
Negotiating (forty-five minutes maximum).
-
Voting and
explanation of voting (fifteen minutes maximum).
-
Potomac points may be awarded or taken away by the president for the
following reasons:
-
Failure to “focus” on
the real issues involved – 50 points.
-
Tendency to stonewall
without sufficient political reason – 50 points.
-
Failure to understand
a proposal’s impact on own agency – 100 points.
-
Failure to have an
amendment accepted (only two amendments per proposal will be accepted.
Each must be accepted by the initiating agency and by three of the
remaining groups at the time the amendment’s officially
offered) – 100 points.
-
Ranking:
-
Under 100 points –
The John Kerry “Good Effort” Award.
-
From 100-250 points –
The Bureaucratic Lightweight Award.
-
From 250-500 points –
The Vice-Presidential Commendation for Excellence in Government Award.
-
From 500-900 points –
The Best and the Brightest Award (plus two weeks in the hospital with
Potomac Fever).
-
1000 points – The
President’s Ear.
-
Functional Responsibilities – Each group will
designate people to fulfill the following roles:
-
Delegation Head.
-
Negotiator.
-
Spokesman.
-
Presidential Liaison
Great American Foreign Policy Decision Game
Daily
schedule (additional sessions pending)
Sunday, January 6
3:00pm Check into the hotel, informal walking
tour of the area
7:00-8:30pm
Reception
Monday, January 7
9:00-9:45am
Barry Lowenkron, former Assistant
Secretary of State, "The Role of the State
Department and the Intelligence Community" (telephone
conference call)
11:00-12:00pm
Lawrence Korb, The Center for American Progress,
"The Department of Defense" (at CAP)
2:00-3:30pm
Anthony Blinken, Majority Staff Director, Senate Foreign Relations
Committee,
"Congress' Role in American Foreign Policy" (On the Hill)
Tuesday, January 8
10:00-11:30am Trita Parsi, President, National Iranian
American Council, author of Treacherous
Alliance: The Secret Dealings of Iran, Israel, and the US
(books available for
purchase), "Background Briefing on Iran"
2:00-3:30pm
Joseph Cirincione, Center for American Progress, "Iran, Pakistan and
Iraq:
Proliferation Lessons"
3:30-4:30pm
Shelton Williams, The Osgood Center, American Foreign Policy:
the Decision-Making Model
Wednesday, January 9
12:00-1:30pm Joint Session with the Center for National
Policy on Saudi Arabia with Steve Coll,
Washington Post, and Thomas Lipman, Middle east Institute
2:00 -3:30pm
Open Forum
Thursday, January 10
10:00-11:00am
Robert Hunter, Rand Corporation, "The Role
of the NSC"
2:00-3:00 pm Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, "Is
the System Working?"
3:30-4:30pm
Ambassador Teresita Schaffer,
Center for Strategic and International Studies,
"Background Briefing on Pakistan" (at CSIS)
Friday, January 11
10:00-11:00am
Shane Harris, Staff Writer for the
National Journal, "The Media's Role"
2:00-3:00pm
Paul Hughes, US Institute for
Peace, "Background Briefing on Iraq"
3:15-4:15pm
Peter Rodman, Former
Assistant Secretary of Defense,
“Defense Issues in Iraq, Iran and Pakistan”
January 13-15
10am-1:00pm The Great American Foreign Policy Decision
Game
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Housing, 2008
This year, the housing
for the ILC is arranged with the
Homewood Suites by Hilton in Downtown Washington, DC. The Homewood
Suites is located two blocks from SAIS and six blocks from the White
House, in the vicinity of the famed Embassy Row, among many of the various
embassies. Accommodations feature suites with separate living and sleeping
quarters, a full kitchen, two televisions, and high-speed internet
access. The hotel also provides a complimentary hot breakfast complete
with sausage, eggs, and other traditional breakfast favorites, as well as
a complimentary reception Monday through Thursday evenings, featuring hot
entrees.
1475 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, D.C. 20005
Phone: 1-202-265-8000
Program Costs
Application Fee $100
Housing Fee $550
Program Fee $500
Total Cost:
$1,150
Reduced
program fees if institutions send either five plus or ten plus students.
NOTE:
The Osgood
Center presents affordable programs for all. Fees, housing, and
incidental charges are set to allow wide participation. Our policies
regarding fees are thus: application fees are not refundable; program fees
are due in full prior to events and are not refundable after two weeks
prior an event; and housing fees, while optional, are due in full prior to
an event and are never refundable after one month prior an event.
Students
must sign waivers upon arriving for Osgood events and must provide own
medical and health insurance.
Student Takes Hands-On Approach to Learn Foreign Policy-Making
Print the Application
See the Decision Game Photos for 2007
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